Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.462371e-02 0.029715 0.035059 0.041045 0.047522 0.054282 0.061838
2026-01-11 1.713956e-02 0.024226 0.032213 0.041680 0.052417 0.064067 0.077526
2026-01-18 1.228751e-02 0.020303 0.029949 0.041928 0.056007 0.071707 0.090250
2026-01-25 9.011876e-03 0.017475 0.028317 0.042336 0.059294 0.078605 0.101787
2026-02-01 6.427108e-03 0.014939 0.026586 0.042239 0.061669 0.084199 0.111614
2026-02-08 3.869243e-03 0.011744 0.023513 0.040079 0.061249 0.086278 0.117169
2026-02-15 2.409314e-03 0.009796 0.021827 0.039452 0.062512 0.090191 0.124722
2026-02-22 1.587537e-03 0.008684 0.021167 0.040055 0.065213 0.095751 0.134147
2026-03-01 1.001080e-03 0.007773 0.020671 0.040781 0.068001 0.101364 0.143592
2026-03-08 6.615537e-04 0.007271 0.020743 0.042245 0.071702 0.108068 0.154320
2026-03-15 3.479448e-04 0.006551 0.020346 0.042975 0.074400 0.113504 0.163503
2026-03-22 3.207738e-04 0.006907 0.021831 0.046449 0.080728 0.123449 0.178130
2026-03-29 3.982942e-05 0.005441 0.019955 0.045005 0.080633 0.125575 0.183552
2026-04-05 7.290577e-09 0.004864 0.019642 0.045868 0.083636 0.131604 0.193762
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004182 0.018997 0.046160 0.085826 0.136589 0.202688
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003615 0.018481 0.046594 0.088174 0.141750 0.211812
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002983 0.017674 0.046493 0.089736 0.145876 0.219638
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001983 0.015639 0.044221 0.088149 0.145877 0.222297
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001459 0.014628 0.043561 0.088780 0.148699 0.228420
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001219 0.014384 0.044195 0.091250 0.153903 0.237503
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001027 0.014228 0.044960 0.093897 0.159331 0.246862
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000959 0.014505 0.046499 0.097672 0.166242 0.258083
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000801 0.014367 0.047266 0.100308 0.171649 0.267414